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Minnesota @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Kenta Maeda Over the last week, Ozzie Albies's 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Ozzie Albies sits with a .258 BABIP this year.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Kenta Maeda Over the last week, Ozzie Albies's 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Ozzie Albies sits with a .258 BABIP this year.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
designated hitter DH • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Gallo
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. In the last week, Joey Gallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.9% up to 33.3%. Joey Gallo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.1-mph average to last year's 97.9-mph EV.

Joey Gallo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. In the last week, Joey Gallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.9% up to 33.3%. Joey Gallo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.1-mph average to last year's 97.9-mph EV.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kolby Allard. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kolby Allard. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Alex Kirilloff has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.3-mph.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Alex Kirilloff has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.3-mph.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Kyle Farmer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Kyle Farmer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard today.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Christian Vazquez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 93-mph over the last 7 days.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Christian Vazquez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 93-mph over the last 7 days.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last year to 11.7% this season.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last year to 11.7% this season.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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