Washington @ Philadelphia props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 89.7-mph. In the past 14 days, Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 89.7 mph to 87.4 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .298 actual batting average.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. CJ Abrams has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.5% over the last 14 days.

The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Bryce Harper has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 85.4-mph over the past week. Bryce Harper's launch angle this year (7.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.7° figure last year. In the last week's worth of games, Bryce Harper's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Dominic Smith has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Dominic Smith has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 15% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Derek Hill will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Extreme groundball bats like Stone Garrett are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ildemaro Vargas has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Trea Turner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.