LAD +0 o0.0
SF +0 u0.0
MIA +133 o7.0
HOU -156 u7.0
ATL +0 o0.0
BOS +0 u0.0
TOR +143 o8.5
STL -168 u8.5
DET +124 o8.5
PHI -145 u8.5
NYY +125 o11.5
TB -146 u11.5
BAL +140 o13.5
PIT -164 u13.5
TEX +0 o0.0
OAK +0 u0.0
COL +0 o0.0
CHW +0 u0.0
SEA +0 o0.0
SF +0 u0.0
KC +0 o0.0
CIN +0 u0.0
CLE +0 o0.0
KC +0 u0.0
MIL +0 o0.0
LAA +0 u0.0
OAK +0 o0.0
MIL +0 u0.0
CHW +0 o0.0
AZ +0 u0.0
SD +0 o0.0
SEA +0 u0.0
MIN +0 o0.0
ATL +0 u0.0
NYM +109
WAS -127
MSN2, MLBN, BSOHIO

Cincinnati @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Luke Weaver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Joey Meneses has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 19.2% to 7.9%.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Luke Weaver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Joey Meneses has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 19.2% to 7.9%.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last 7 days. Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .349 mark is quite a bit higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last 7 days. Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .349 mark is quite a bit higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.4-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.4-mph. Sporting a .299 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Dominic Smith is positioned in the 24th percentile.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.4-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.4-mph. Sporting a .299 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Dominic Smith is positioned in the 24th percentile.

Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Hill
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Derek Hill has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Derek Hill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Derek Hill has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has put up a .344 BABIP this year.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has put up a .344 BABIP this year.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 45.4% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 45.4% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

M. McLain
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Matt McLain has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Matt McLain has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past two weeks.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Matt McLain has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Matt McLain has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past two weeks.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin today.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Luke Weaver today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Luke Weaver today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Corey Dickerson Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Dickerson
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Dickerson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Corey Dickerson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Dickerson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jonathan India has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. This season, Jonathan India has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.3 mph compared to last year's 90.1 mph mark.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Jonathan India has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. This season, Jonathan India has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.3 mph compared to last year's 90.1 mph mark.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. In the last week, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 20%. Spencer Steer has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Spencer Steer's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. In the last week, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 20%. Spencer Steer has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Spencer Steer's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin today. Over the past 14 days, Will Benson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph of late.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin today. Over the past 14 days, Will Benson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph of late.

Joey Votto Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Votto
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Joey Votto will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Joey Votto's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (42° over the past week) is significantly better than his 30.5° seasonal mark.

Joey Votto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 87°. Joey Votto will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Joey Votto's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (42° over the past week) is significantly better than his 30.5° seasonal mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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