LAD +0 o0.0
SF +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
MIA 4 +137 o7.0
HOU 6 -161 u7.0
Final Mar 15
ATL 7 +0 o0.0
BOS 3 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
BAL 5 +138 o13.5
PIT 15 -162 u13.5
Final Mar 15
TOR 5 +139 o8.5
STL 9 -163 u8.5
Final Mar 15
DET 2 +132 o8.5
PHI 2 -155 u8.5
Final Mar 15
NYY 7 +129 o11.5
TB 7 -152 u11.5
Final Mar 15
SEA 2 +0 o0.0
SF 6 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
KC 13 +0 o0.0
CIN 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
CLE 7 +0 o0.0
KC 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
TEX 4 +0 o0.0
OAK 3 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
COL 1 +0 o0.0
CHW 2 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
SD 8 +0 o0.0
SEA 3 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
CHW 8 +0 o0.0
AZ 9 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
MIL 4 +0 o0.0
LAA 0 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
OAK 0 +0 o0.0
MIL 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 15
NYM 1 -121 o7.5
WAS 4 +104 u7.5
Final Mar 15
MIN 4 +0 o0.0
ATL 0 +0 u0.0
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Texas @ Boston Props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today. Adolis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .023 disparity.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today. Adolis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .023 disparity.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Dane Dunning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.6° figure last season. Justin Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .353 rate is quite a bit higher than his .329 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Dane Dunning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.6° figure last season. Justin Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .353 rate is quite a bit higher than his .329 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kaleb Ort Leody Taveras has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kaleb Ort Leody Taveras has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will bat from his weak side (0) today against Kaleb Ort Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Robbie Grossman has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 78th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will bat from his weak side (0) today against Kaleb Ort Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Robbie Grossman has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 78th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. David Hamilton has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Hamilton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. David Hamilton has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Hamilton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. With a .263 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers grades out in the 18th percentile.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. With a .263 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers grades out in the 18th percentile.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kaleb Ort will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Garver in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kaleb Ort will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Garver in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kaleb Ort will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today's game. Ezequiel Duran pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kaleb Ort will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today's game. Ezequiel Duran pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Christian Arroyo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Christian Arroyo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the majors for righty batting average. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

Weather information will be available closer to the game's start date.