Texas @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst field in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.3-mph in the past 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side this year. His .273 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst field in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage against Adolis Garcia in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .336, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .025 difference between that figure and his actual .361 wOBA.

Nationals Park projects as the #28 stadium in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive skill to be a .388, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .044 gap between that mark and his actual .432 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst field in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Jung today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Jung in today's matchup. Josh Jung has been lucky this year, notching a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .018 disparity. As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Jung's skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.66 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.4% to 48.8%. Leody Taveras has recorded a .313 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cody Bradford. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Jeimer Candelario's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cody Bradford in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage today.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Hitters such as CJ Abrams with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cody Bradford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. In the last week, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately. Last year, Jonah Heim had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.5°. Jonah Heim has notched a .278 batting average this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage over Cody Bradford today. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. The Barrel% of Ezequiel Duran has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.6% last year to 12.6% this season. Ezequiel Duran's launch angle lately (8.7° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 14° seasonal angle. Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .368 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) provides evidence that Keibert Ruiz has experienced some negative variance this year with his .229 actual batting average.

Stone Garrett is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage against Cody Bradford in today's game. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Stone Garrett has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week.

Luis Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ildemaro Vargas has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Robbie Grossman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.