New York @ San Diego Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Brett Baty has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.328) provides evidence that Brett Baty has been unlucky this year with his .303 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Francisco Lindor's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.7-mph now compared to just 89.3-mph then. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 20.6%. Francisco Lindor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 BA is considerably lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.6° mark in the last week's worth of games. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.53 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Over the past week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 25%. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV. In the last 7 days, Francisco Alvarez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.3%.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.3 mph to 88.6 mph.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Gary Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Daniel Vogelbach has been unlucky this year, notching a .301 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .035 gap. With a 1.82 K/BB rate this year, Daniel Vogelbach has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark. Starling Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .042 disparity.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8% rate last season to 14.3% this season. This season, Tommy Pham has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 93.8 mph mark.

Rougned Odor will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Rougned Odor, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Rougned Odor will hold that advantage today. Rougned Odor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.

Matt Carpenter has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Luis Guillorme has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.