Cleveland @ Texas props

Globe Life Field grades out as the #28 stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Jon Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Amed Rosario today. In today's matchup, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.6% rate (99th percentile). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray today. Andres Gimenez has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.9% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Based on Statcast metrics, Jose Ramirez is in the 79th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349. Jose Ramirez has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 99th percentile with a 0.87 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .289 batting average this year.

Globe Life Field profiles as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, posting a .433 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .386 — a .047 discrepancy.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 94.7-mph in the past two weeks. Josh Bell's launch angle of late (12.3° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 7.1° seasonal mark. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Bell's true offensive ability to be a .342, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .032 disparity between that figure and his actual .310 wOBA. Josh Bell's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 114 mph this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. In notching a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Steven Kwan grades out in the 75th percentile. Steven Kwan has shown strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90-mph EV. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.4% to 20.3%. Grading out in the 81st percentile, Jonah Heim has posted a .277 batting average this year.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last year to 11.7% this season. With a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Ezequiel Duran is positioned in the 89th percentile for offensive skills. With a .388 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran is ranked in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's game. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 48.4%. Based on Statcast metrics, Leody Taveras grades out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355. Leody Taveras has notched a .290 batting average this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Josh Jung's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 25%. Josh Jung has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.2-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Adolis Garcia has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.4% to 21.9%. Compared to last season, Adolis Garcia has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.5% to 18.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Marcus Semien's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile. With a .273 batting average this year, Marcus Semien is positioned in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray in today's game. In the past 14 days, Will Brennan's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.8%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.305) provides evidence that Will Brennan has experienced some negative variance this year with his .269 actual batting average. Will Brennan is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.8% rate this year).

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Travis Jankowski's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.7-mph over the course of the season to 87.8-mph recently. Travis Jankowski's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (0.7° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his -2.3° seasonal figure. Travis Jankowski has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 95th percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, posting a .272 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .027 disparity.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Cam Gallagher has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.