Los Angeles @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Justin Verlander will have the handedness advantage over Mookie Betts in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts's true offensive ability to be a .379, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .028 difference between that figure and his actual .407 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst field in baseball for left-handed batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 90.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brett Baty has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Julio Urias. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias today. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has been unlucky this year, compiling a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage against Julio Urias in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jason Heyward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Urias in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. David Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph EV.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.