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Detroit @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate. Reese Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle lately (3.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably lower than his 8.6° seasonal figure.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #2 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate. Reese Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle lately (3.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably lower than his 8.6° seasonal figure.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This year, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96 mph.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This year, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96 mph.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller today. Over the past week, Riley Greene's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 50%.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller today. Over the past week, Riley Greene's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 50%.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year. His .307 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year. His .307 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. Short
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Zack Short pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Zack Short has suffered from bad luck this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Zack Short pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Zack Short has suffered from bad luck this year. His .279 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Spencer Torkelson has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past two weeks. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Spencer Torkelson has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past two weeks. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Vierling has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Matt Vierling has compiled a .272 batting average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Vierling has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Matt Vierling has compiled a .272 batting average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Kolten Wong Total Hits Props • Seattle

K. Wong
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Kolten Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kolten Wong has been unlucky this year, putting up a .218 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .095 disparity.

Kolten Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Kolten Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kolten Wong has been unlucky this year, putting up a .218 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .095 disparity.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

K. Carpenter
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Kerry Carpenter's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 21.3° seasonal mark.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Kerry Carpenter's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 21.3° seasonal mark.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .053 gap.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .053 gap.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .307 rate is considerably lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .307 rate is considerably lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Akil Baddoo Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Baddoo
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. Akil Baddoo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Akil Baddoo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. Akil Baddoo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Reese Olson today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Reese Olson today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today.

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle

M. Ford
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.7-mph in the past two weeks.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.7-mph in the past two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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