Tampa Bay @ Texas props

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Cooper Criswell will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Semien in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split. In the last week, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, posting a .435 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .393 — a .042 deviation.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Jon Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

Robbie Grossman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 77th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Robbie Grossman demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Luke Raley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (42° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 12.9° seasonal figure. Luke Raley has notched a .400 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Isaac Paredes has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (20.6°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° angle last year. Placing in the 95th percentile, Isaac Paredes has notched a .380 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Isaac Paredes has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week's worth of games. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 41.4% to 48.2%. By putting up a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Leody Taveras grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 10th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Wander Franco has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average. As it relates to his batting average, Wander Franco has had some very poor luck this year. His .275 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .291. By putting up a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Wander Franco is positioned in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.

Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (19.9°) is considerably higher than his 16.4° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jose Siri is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Barrel% of Jose Siri has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.3% last year to 17.1% this year. Compared to last season, Jose Siri has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.8% to 20.8% this season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) may lead us to conclude that Jose Siri has been unlucky this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In comparison to his 89.8-mph average last year, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.1 mph. Randy Arozarena has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 98.8-mph in the past week. Using Statcast metrics, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .376.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Ezequiel Duran has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.6% rate last season to 11.5% this season. Ezequiel Duran has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 85.4-mph mark. Posting a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Ezequiel Duran is ranked in the 87th percentile for offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 20%. Compared to last year, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 20.3% this season. In the last 7 days, Jonah Heim's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.7%. Jonah Heim has compiled a .280 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Manuel Margot has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph average. Compared to last year, Manuel Margot has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 6.9% to 14.4% this season. Manuel Margot's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 27.83 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.45 ft/sec now. Manuel Margot has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .292 mark is quite a bit lower than his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray today. Brandon Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.4%. Brandon Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.4% on the season to 35.3% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Josh Jung sits with a .352 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.5% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Adolis Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.7° seasonal mark.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game. Travis Jankowski has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 95th percentile with a 1.17 K/BB rate. With a .322 batting average this year, Travis Jankowski has performed in the 96th percentile.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.