San Francisco @ Cincinnati props

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will bat from his worse side (0) today against Ross Stripling Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Over the last week, Elly De La Cruz has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power). Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .339 rate is a good deal higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Elly De La Cruz's talent is quite bad, putting up a 5.54 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 18th percentile.

Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Matos in today's game. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Matos in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Matos's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 88.4 mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Matos has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Joc Pederson has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year. Joc Pederson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Joc Pederson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%. Joc Pederson's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.6-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage over Wilmer Flores in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Wilmer Flores has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks. Wilmer Flores has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 81.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side given the .030 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Matt McLain has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Blake Sabol can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Votto in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Joey Votto will hold the platoon advantage over Ross Stripling in today's game.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #4 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 83°. Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Ross Stripling today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's game. Will Benson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90-mph mark.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.