Bally Sports Network, NESN

Atlanta @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Christian Arroyo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Arroyo in today's game.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Christian Arroyo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Arroyo in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against Nick Pivetta Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies today.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against Nick Pivetta Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies today.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. Eddie Rosario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. Eddie Rosario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest humidity of the day at 89%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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