MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Milwaukee @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Matt Olson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .394 rate is considerably higher than his .376 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Matt Olson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .394 rate is considerably higher than his .376 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Colin Rea Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the last two weeks, Ozzie Albies's 17.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.5%. Sporting a .250 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Colin Rea Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the last two weeks, Ozzie Albies's 17.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.5%. Sporting a .250 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's game.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's game.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-227
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-227
Projection Rating

AJ Smith-Shawver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.5-mph average last season has decreased to 94.9-mph. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.2% to 11%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) provides evidence that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .349 actual wOBA.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

AJ Smith-Shawver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.5-mph average last season has decreased to 94.9-mph. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.2% to 11%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) provides evidence that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .349 actual wOBA.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's matchup.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's matchup.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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