NBC Bay Area, NESN

Boston @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Justin Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week. Justin Turner has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .362 rate is a good deal higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Justin Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week. Justin Turner has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .362 rate is a good deal higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ross Stripling in today's game. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 42.2% to 36.6%.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ross Stripling in today's game. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 42.2% to 36.6%.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Wilmer Flores will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Wilmer Flores's launch angle from last year's 20.3° to 26.6° this season.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Wilmer Flores will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Wilmer Flores's launch angle from last year's 20.3° to 26.6° this season.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 14th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Austin Slater has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 14th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Austin Slater has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jorge Alfaro Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Alfaro
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Jorge Alfaro is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Scott Alexander today... and even more favorably, Alexander has a large platoon split. Jorge Alfaro has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jorge Alfaro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, Jorge Alfaro is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Scott Alexander today... and even more favorably, Alexander has a large platoon split. Jorge Alfaro has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage over Yu Chang today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Yu Chang's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph lately.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage over Yu Chang today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Yu Chang's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph lately.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Marco Luciano Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Luciano
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Marco Luciano is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Marco Luciano will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Marco Luciano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Marco Luciano is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Marco Luciano will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage against Rob Refsnyder in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage against Rob Refsnyder in today's game.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mike Yastrzemski will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mike Yastrzemski will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Luis Matos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage today. Luis Matos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 47.6% on the season to 53.8% over the last week.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luis Matos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage today. Luis Matos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 47.6% on the season to 53.8% over the last week.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Casey Schmitt's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .051 disparity.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Casey Schmitt's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .051 disparity.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 19th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 19th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage against Adam Duvall in today's matchup. Batters such as Adam Duvall with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Scott Alexander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage against Adam Duvall in today's matchup. Batters such as Adam Duvall with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Scott Alexander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Arroyo in today's matchup. Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Ross Stripling will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Arroyo in today's matchup. Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast