Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Tarik Skubal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive skill to be a .345, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .046 deviation between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA.