ESPN

Los Angeles @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario in today's game.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario in today's game.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 89.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 89.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Freddie Freeman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Freddie Freeman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 18.3% this season. Max Muncy has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.3% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 7 days. In the last 14 days, Max Muncy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph recently. When it comes to his batting average, Max Muncy has suffered from bad luck this year. His .195 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 18.3% this season. Max Muncy has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.3% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 7 days. In the last 14 days, Max Muncy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph recently. When it comes to his batting average, Max Muncy has suffered from bad luck this year. His .195 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 40.5% on the season to 52.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. James Outman's speed has improved this season. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.86 ft/sec now. James Outman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 21.8° figure is among the highest in the game this year (99th percentile). Posting a .356 BABIP this year, James Outman grades out in the 93rd percentile.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 40.5% on the season to 52.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. James Outman's speed has improved this season. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.86 ft/sec now. James Outman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 21.8° figure is among the highest in the game this year (99th percentile). Posting a .356 BABIP this year, James Outman grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Gary Sanchez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.4° mark in the last two weeks.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Gary Sanchez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.4° mark in the last two weeks.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

C. Taylor
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Chris Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chris Taylor is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chris Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chris Taylor is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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