STL +110 o8.0
PIT -119 u8.0
CHW +169 o8.5
CLE -185 u8.5
BOS -121 o8.5
MIA +112 u8.5
NYM -144 o8.5
WAS +132 u8.5
CIN +160 o8.5
NYY -175 u8.5
HOU -108 o8.5
TOR -100 u8.5
SF +177 o7.5
ATL -194 u7.5
PHI -115 o7.5
CHC +107 u7.5
SD +126 o9.0
TEX -136 u9.0
TB -102 o8.0
KC -106 u8.0
DET +152 o9.0
MIN -166 u9.0
MIL -163 o11.5
COL +150 u11.5
LAA -111 o8.5
OAK +103 u8.5
BAL +111 o7.0
SEA -120 u7.0
AZ +171 o9.0
LAD -188 u9.0
MLBN, Marquee Sports Network, SNY

Chicago @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Drew Smyly will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Drew Smyly will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.7% up to 25%.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.7% up to 25%.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in baseball for righty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Kodai Senga will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 16.5% on the season to 5.6% in the last week.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in baseball for righty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Kodai Senga will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 16.5% on the season to 5.6% in the last week.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. In the last week's worth of games, Jeimer Candelario's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 17.6%.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. In the last week's worth of games, Jeimer Candelario's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 17.6%.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Yan Gomes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Yan Gomes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Ian Happ has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Ian Happ has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Smyly.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Smyly.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Bellinger
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Cody Bellinger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Cody Bellinger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nick Madrigal Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Madrigal
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nick Madrigal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.4-mph EV.

Nick Madrigal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nick Madrigal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.4-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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