Houston @ Baltimore props

Gunnar Henderson has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by MLB's deepest LF fences today. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90.3-mph in the past week's worth of games. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 42.5% on the season to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games.

Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Altuve in today's game. Jose Altuve has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 79.8-mph over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .380 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Altuve has been very fortunate given the .022 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Bregman has been unlucky this year, compiling a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .028 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Cristian Javier in today's matchup. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Chas McCormick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chas McCormick has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Martin Maldonado has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past 7 days, Martin Maldonado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 108-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Martin Maldonado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.4° figure in the past two weeks.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ryan Mountcastle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Westburg has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Hays will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.1% to 19.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mauricio Dubon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.8-mph average to last season's 84.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jose Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .058 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 15th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) may lead us to conclude that Jeremy Pena has suffered from bad luck this year with his .249 actual batting average.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.