MASN2, Sportsnet

Washington @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 44.6% on the season to 72.7% in the past 7 days. Keibert Ruiz has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 44.6% on the season to 72.7% in the past 7 days. Keibert Ruiz has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .227 figure is considerably lower than his .247 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .227 figure is considerably lower than his .247 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 94.8-mph in the last week.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 94.8-mph in the last week.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 13.3%. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (20°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° angle last season.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 13.3%. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (20°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° angle last season.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Alex Call hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%. Alex Call has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. In the last 14 days, Alex Call's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Alex Call hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%. Alex Call has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. In the last 14 days, Alex Call's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. This season, CJ Abrams has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.7 mph compared to last year's 89.3 mph mark. In the past two weeks, CJ Abrams has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. This season, CJ Abrams has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.7 mph compared to last year's 89.3 mph mark. In the past two weeks, CJ Abrams has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-285
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Joey Meneses has compiled a .284 batting average this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Joey Meneses has compiled a .284 batting average this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Ildemaro Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) provides evidence that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .242 actual batting average. By putting up a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ildemaro Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) provides evidence that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .242 actual batting average. By putting up a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck this year. His .213 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck this year. His .213 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Davis Schneider is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Davis Schneider has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Davis Schneider is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Davis Schneider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Davis Schneider has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.2%.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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