Washington @ Toronto Picks & Props
WAS vs TOR Picks
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WAS vs TOR Consensus Picks
WAS vs TOR Props
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .227 figure is considerably lower than his .247 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington
Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 94.8-mph in the last week.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 13.3%. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (20°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° angle last season.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Alex Call hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%. Alex Call has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph. In the last 14 days, Alex Call's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. This season, CJ Abrams has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.7 mph compared to last year's 89.3 mph mark. In the past two weeks, CJ Abrams has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Joey Meneses has compiled a .284 batting average this year, placing in the 89th percentile.
Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Santiago Espinal has had some very poor luck this year. His .213 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
Ildemaro Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) provides evidence that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .242 actual batting average. By putting up a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.
Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto
Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.2%.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto
Cavan Biggio has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
WAS vs TOR Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 68 of their last 120 games (+8.40 Units / 6% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.93 Units / 66% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 19 away games (-9.51 Units / -41% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 16 games (-3.95 Units / -22% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 110 games (+13.99 Units / 11% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.14 Units / 45% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.87 Units / 6% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 121 games (-30.25 Units / -21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 48 games at home (-19.15 Units / -25% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 93 games (-17.72 Units / -13% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games at home (-14.90 Units / -22% ROI)
WAS vs TOR Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||