MIN +126 o8.5
CLE -137 u8.5
NYY -141 o9.5
BAL +130 u9.5
CHC -135 o8.5
PIT +125 u8.5
STL +122 o9.5
CIN -132 u9.5
WAS +164 o8.5
PHI -180 u8.5
KC +131 o9.0
TB -142 u9.0
BOS -132 o7.5
TOR +121 u7.5
AZ +127 o8.5
NYM -138 u8.5
MIL -225 o8.0
CHW +203 u8.0
ATH +174 o8.0
TEX -191 u8.0
DET +106 o8.0
HOU -115 u8.0
ATL -190 o11.0
COL +173 u11.0
SF -118 o6.5
SD +109 u6.5
LAA +158 o7.5
SEA -173 u7.5
MIA +172 o8.5
LAD -189 u8.5
MLBN, SNY, Bally Sports Network

Texas @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, D.J. Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, D.J. Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently.

Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Ortega
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Ortega will hold that advantage in today's game. Rafael Ortega has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 86.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 84-mph. Over the past week, Rafael Ortega's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Rafael Ortega

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Ortega will hold that advantage in today's game. Rafael Ortega has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 86.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 84-mph. Over the past week, Rafael Ortega's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Adolis Garcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.2-mph figure. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.5% to 19.4%.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Adolis Garcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.2-mph figure. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.5% to 19.4%.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Mitch Garver has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last season to 14.9% this season. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Mitch Garver has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last season to 14.9% this season. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Ezequiel Duran has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph EV. Sporting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 85th percentile. By putting up a .374 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 97th percentile.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Ezequiel Duran has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph EV. Sporting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 85th percentile. By putting up a .374 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran grades out in the 97th percentile.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle this year (19.1°) is a significant increase over his 13.7° angle last year.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle this year (19.1°) is a significant increase over his 13.7° angle last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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