NBC Bay Area, MLBN, SDPA

San Francisco @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Patrick Bailey has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 48.4% on the season to 77.8% over the past week.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Patrick Bailey has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 48.4% on the season to 77.8% over the past week.

Wade Meckler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Meckler
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Wade Meckler is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Wade Meckler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Avila in today's matchup. Wade Meckler has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 88.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Wade Meckler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP skill, Wade Meckler is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Wade Meckler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Avila in today's matchup. Wade Meckler has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 88.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Casey Schmitt has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks. Casey Schmitt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has been unlucky given the .049 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Casey Schmitt has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks. Casey Schmitt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has been unlucky given the .049 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sean Manaea will hold the platoon advantage against Trent Grisham in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Manaea's huge platoon split. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sean Manaea will hold the platoon advantage against Trent Grisham in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Manaea's huge platoon split. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Haniger
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Haniger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mitch Haniger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.9% to 19.1%.

Mitch Haniger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Haniger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mitch Haniger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.9% to 19.1%.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Avila in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle lately (22.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 16.1° seasonal mark. Using Statcast data, LaMonte Wade Jr. is in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .358.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Avila in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle lately (22.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 16.1° seasonal mark. Using Statcast data, LaMonte Wade Jr. is in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .358.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 18.5%.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 18.5%.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

J.D. Davis's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.D. Davis's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 46.8% on the season to 71.4% in the last 7 days. J.D. Davis has notched a .322 BABIP this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

J.D. Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

J.D. Davis's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.D. Davis's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 46.8% on the season to 71.4% in the last 7 days. J.D. Davis has notched a .322 BABIP this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Carpenter today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Manaea's huge platoon split. Matt Carpenter will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Carpenter has suffered from bad luck given the .045 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.2° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Carpenter today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Manaea's huge platoon split. Matt Carpenter will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Carpenter has suffered from bad luck given the .045 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.2° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gary Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 108.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.6° mark over the past two weeks.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gary Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 108.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.6° mark over the past two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast