MASN, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.8% on the season to 20% in the past week. Jake Burger has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .242 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .363 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jake Burger is ranked in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.8% on the season to 20% in the past week. Jake Burger has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .242 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .363 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jake Burger is ranked in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin today. Sporting a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jesus Sanchez grades out in the 75th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .329 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin today. Sporting a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jesus Sanchez grades out in the 75th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .329 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late. Dominic Smith's launch angle lately (36.7° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late. Dominic Smith's launch angle lately (36.7° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 51.1%. Garrett Hampson has notched a .274 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 51.1%. Garrett Hampson has notched a .274 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. This season, Keibert Ruiz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.3% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. This season, Keibert Ruiz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.3% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 21.4%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 21.4%.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.1%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.1%.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Carter Kieboom has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carter Kieboom has averaged an impressive 99.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Over the last two weeks, Carter Kieboom's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 50% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Carter Kieboom has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carter Kieboom has averaged an impressive 99.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Over the last two weeks, Carter Kieboom's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 50% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph EV.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast