NBC Bay Area, SDPA

San Francisco @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. Brandon Crawford's speed has increased this season. His 25.34 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.79 ft/sec now. Brandon Crawford has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .058 deviation.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. Brandon Crawford's speed has increased this season. His 25.34 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.79 ft/sec now. Brandon Crawford has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .058 deviation.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Patrick Bailey has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph lately. Over the past week, Patrick Bailey's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Patrick Bailey has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph lately. Over the past week, Patrick Bailey's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Joc Pederson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Joc Pederson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. In the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late. Based on Statcast metrics, LaMonte Wade Jr. is in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .357.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. In the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late. Based on Statcast metrics, LaMonte Wade Jr. is in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .357.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 84%. Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 84%. Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today.

Matthew Batten Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Batten
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Matthew Batten will hold that advantage today. Matthew Batten has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days. Matthew Batten's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 30.8% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games.

Matthew Batten

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Matthew Batten will hold that advantage today. Matthew Batten has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days. Matthew Batten's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 30.8% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Luis Campusano's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Luis Campusano's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski's 90.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 76th percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski's 90.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 76th percentile.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Wilmer Flores has posted a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Wilmer Flores has posted a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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