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Tampa Bay @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Projection Rating

This year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. Today, Harold Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (98th percentile). The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Harold Ramirez today. Harold Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. Today, Harold Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (98th percentile). The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Harold Ramirez today. Harold Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.

Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Calhoun
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Projection Rating

Kole Calhoun is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kole Calhoun will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Kole Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kole Calhoun is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kole Calhoun will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Bethancourt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen in today's game... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Christian Bethancourt's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13°) is a significant increase over his 10° angle last season.

Christian Bethancourt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen in today's game... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Christian Bethancourt's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13°) is a significant increase over his 10° angle last season.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and moreover, Allen has a huge platoon split. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Will Brennan will hold that advantage in today's game.

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Will Brennan will hold that advantage in today's game.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-217
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-217
Projection Rating

Over the past 14 days, Steven Kwan has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Over the past 14 days, Steven Kwan has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luke Raley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV. With a .371 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley is ranked in the 91st percentile.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luke Raley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV. With a .371 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley is ranked in the 91st percentile.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Logan Allen... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Taylor Walls's launch angle this year (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° figure last season. Taylor Walls has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Logan Allen... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Taylor Walls's launch angle this year (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° figure last season. Taylor Walls has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Myles Straw's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Myles Straw's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game.

Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

O. Gonzalez
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oscar Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Oscar Gonzalez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Oscar Gonzalez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.5% to 13.3%.

Oscar Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oscar Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Oscar Gonzalez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Oscar Gonzalez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.5% to 13.3%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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