Atlanta @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
ATL vs LAD Picks
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ATL vs LAD Consensus Picks
ATL vs LAD Props
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Matt Olson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV. Matt Olson has put up a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Despite posting a .434 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .391.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.2%.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan today. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days. Eddie Rosario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph. Eddie Rosario's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (28.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last year to 16.8% this season. By putting up a .405 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 97th percentile for offensive ability. Sporting a .389 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy is positioned in the 97th percentile.
Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Austin Barnes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Barnes's true offensive skill to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .077 deviation between that mark and his actual .209 wOBA.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like James Outman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. James Outman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Orlando Arcia has notched a .276 batting average this year.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Jason Heyward's launch angle from last season's 12.9° to 15.9° this season. Placing in the 77th percentile, Jason Heyward has notched a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
ATL vs LAD Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 132 games (+19.24 Units / 8% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 83 of their last 133 games (+20.15 Units / 12% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.94 Units / 19% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 133 games (-28.21 Units / -18% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 17 games (-6.15 Units / -32% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 15 games (-4.25 Units / -25% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 64 of their last 106 games (+25.40 Units / 20% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 113 games (+21.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games at home (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.74 Units / 14% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.44 Units / 63% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 125 games (-32.75 Units / -24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 59 games at home (-19.50 Units / -28% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games at home (-9.60 Units / -12% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 42 games at home (-8.20 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have not hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in any of their last 5 games at home (-6.45 Units / -100% ROI)
ATL vs LAD Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||