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Atlanta @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+150
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+150
Projection Rating

Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Matt Olson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV. Matt Olson has put up a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Matt Olson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV. Matt Olson has put up a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+133
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+133
Projection Rating

Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Despite posting a .434 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .391.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Despite posting a .434 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .391.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.2%.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.2%.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan today. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days. Eddie Rosario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph. Eddie Rosario's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (28.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan today. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days. Eddie Rosario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph. Eddie Rosario's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (28.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last year to 16.8% this season. By putting up a .405 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 97th percentile for offensive ability. Sporting a .389 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy is positioned in the 97th percentile.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last year to 16.8% this season. By putting up a .405 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 97th percentile for offensive ability. Sporting a .389 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy is positioned in the 97th percentile.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Austin Barnes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Barnes's true offensive skill to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .077 deviation between that mark and his actual .209 wOBA.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Austin Barnes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Barnes's true offensive skill to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .077 deviation between that mark and his actual .209 wOBA.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like James Outman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. James Outman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like James Outman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. James Outman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.2-mph.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Orlando Arcia has notched a .276 batting average this year.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Orlando Arcia has notched a .276 batting average this year.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Jason Heyward's launch angle from last season's 12.9° to 15.9° this season. Placing in the 77th percentile, Jason Heyward has notched a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Jason Heyward's launch angle from last season's 12.9° to 15.9° this season. Placing in the 77th percentile, Jason Heyward has notched a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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