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Chicago @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.

Nick Madrigal Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Madrigal
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Nick Madrigal's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Madrigal has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Nick Madrigal's launch angle from last year's -0.4° to 3.5° this year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.290) provides evidence that Nick Madrigal has suffered from bad luck this year with his .270 actual batting average.

Nick Madrigal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nick Madrigal's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Madrigal has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Nick Madrigal's launch angle from last year's -0.4° to 3.5° this year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.290) provides evidence that Nick Madrigal has suffered from bad luck this year with his .270 actual batting average.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jeimer Candelario's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph lately. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 37.3% to 43.2%. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 75th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jeimer Candelario's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph lately. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 37.3% to 43.2%. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 75th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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