Bally Sports Network, ATTP

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Andrew McCutchen is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Andrew McCutchen is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Connor Joe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson today. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Connor Joe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson today. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+143
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+143
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. With a 3.53 K/BB rate this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 25th percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. With a 3.53 K/BB rate this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 25th percentile.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Jack Suwinski has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.3% rate last season to 17.6% this year. There has been a significant improvement in Jack Suwinski's launch angle from last year's 14.4° to 23.7° this year.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Jack Suwinski has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.3% rate last season to 17.6% this year. There has been a significant improvement in Jack Suwinski's launch angle from last year's 14.4° to 23.7° this year.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, notching a 96-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, notching a 96-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days.

Jason Delay Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Delay
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Jason Delay will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Jason Delay has posted a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jason Delay

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Jason Delay will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Jason Delay has posted a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 62.5% over the last 14 days. Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 62.5% over the last 14 days. Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Andrew Knizner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andrew Knizner has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 10.1% this season. Andrew Knizner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph figure.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 90°. Andrew Knizner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andrew Knizner has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 10.1% this season. Andrew Knizner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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