Bally Sports Network

Tampa Bay @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+185
Projection Rating

Jose Ramirez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. Placing in the 16th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .272 BABIP this year.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jose Ramirez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. Placing in the 16th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .272 BABIP this year.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 12.5%. Compared to his seasonal average of 20°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.5° angle over the last 14 days.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 12.5%. Compared to his seasonal average of 20°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.5° angle over the last 14 days.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-290
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-290
Projection Rating

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 83.8 mph. Will Brennan's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Will Brennan has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the last week.

Will Brennan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 83.8 mph. Will Brennan's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Will Brennan has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the last week.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 38.6% on the season to 17.4% over the last 14 days. In terms of his batting average, Randy Arozarena has experienced some positive variance this year. His .261 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 38.6% on the season to 17.4% over the last 14 days. In terms of his batting average, Randy Arozarena has experienced some positive variance this year. His .261 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.1°) is considerably higher than his 16.4° angle last season. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.1°) is considerably higher than his 16.4° angle last season. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Calhoun
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kole Calhoun is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kole Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kole Calhoun pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kole Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kole Calhoun is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kole Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kole Calhoun pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last 7 days. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (22°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° figure last year.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last 7 days. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (22°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° figure last year.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Luke Raley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Luke Raley sports a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Luke Raley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Luke Raley sports a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast