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Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph mark.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph mark.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+175
Projection Rating

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .366 wOBA. This year, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.2 mph (an advanced stat to study power), checking in at the 1st percentile.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .366 wOBA. This year, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.2 mph (an advanced stat to study power), checking in at the 1st percentile.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Jake Alu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Jake Alu will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jake Alu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 12.1% on the season to 21.1% over the last 7 days.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jake Alu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Alu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Jake Alu will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jake Alu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 12.1% on the season to 21.1% over the last 7 days.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.5%.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.5%.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .335 BABIP this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .335 BABIP this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph lately.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph lately.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joey Meneses will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joey Meneses will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Carter Kieboom is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carter Kieboom is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.2° mark over the past 7 days.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.2° mark over the past 7 days.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 2.04 K/BB rate.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 2.04 K/BB rate.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 31.1% to 38.5%. Ildemaro Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .238 BA is quite a bit lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.19 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 31.1% to 38.5%. Ildemaro Vargas has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .238 BA is quite a bit lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.19 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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