Peacock

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Bryce Harper has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 21.2% over the past two weeks.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Bryce Harper has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 21.2% over the past two weeks.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+175
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 36%. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today. Over the last 7 days, Trea Turner's 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.3%. As it relates to plate discipline, Trea Turner's skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.58 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 36%. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today. Over the last 7 days, Trea Turner's 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.3%. As it relates to plate discipline, Trea Turner's skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.58 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 36%. Extreme groundball hitters like William Contreras are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 44.4% to 36.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) suggests that William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year with his .283 actual batting average.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 36%. Extreme groundball hitters like William Contreras are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 44.4% to 36.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) suggests that William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year with his .283 actual batting average.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Kyle Schwarber has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last two weeks. Kyle Schwarber has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 96.7-mph over the past 14 days.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Kyle Schwarber has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last two weeks. Kyle Schwarber has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 96.7-mph over the past 14 days.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Christian Yelich will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Christian Yelich will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. In the last two weeks, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.6-mph over the course of the season to 87.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Johan Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.7° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's game. In the last two weeks, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.6-mph over the course of the season to 87.8-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Johan Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.7° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

M. Canha
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle this year (14.4°) is significantly better than his 11° angle last year.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle this year (14.4°) is significantly better than his 11° angle last year.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Andruw Monasterio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Andruw Monasterio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 48.1% on the season to 80% in the last week.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Andruw Monasterio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Andruw Monasterio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 48.1% on the season to 80% in the last week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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