NBC Bay Area, SDPA

San Francisco @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.1-mph in the past week. Mike Yastrzemski's launch angle of late (28° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal angle. Mike Yastrzemski's 18.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 91st percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.1-mph in the past week. Mike Yastrzemski's launch angle of late (28° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 18.6° seasonal angle. Mike Yastrzemski's 18.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 91st percentile.

Wade Meckler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Meckler
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Wade Meckler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.

Wade Meckler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Wade Meckler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Brandon Crawford has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 25.34 ft/sec to 25.82 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Brandon Crawford has been unlucky this year, compiling a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .060 difference.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Brandon Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Brandon Crawford has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 25.34 ft/sec to 25.82 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Brandon Crawford has been unlucky this year, compiling a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .060 difference.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Joc Pederson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Joc Pederson has experienced some negative variance this year. His .339 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .380.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Joc Pederson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Joc Pederson has experienced some negative variance this year. His .339 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .380.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Carpenter generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Alex Cobb. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Carpenter's true offensive skill to be a .331, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .047 gap between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Carpenter generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Alex Cobb. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Carpenter's true offensive skill to be a .331, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .047 gap between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Cooper
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. Garrett Cooper's launch angle recently (29.7° in the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.1° seasonal figure.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP ability, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. Garrett Cooper's launch angle recently (29.7° in the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.1° seasonal figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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