Minnesota @ Cleveland Picks & Props
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MIN vs CLE Consensus Picks
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Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 85.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.6-mph in the past 7 days. Steven Kwan's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 16.8% on the season to 20% in the past 7 days. This year, Steven Kwan's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 0th percentile at 85.3 mph.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game. Matt Wallner's launch angle lately (31.7° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 21.6° seasonal angle. Matt Wallner has notched a .355 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. In the past week, Donovan Solano's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Donovan Solano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph recently.
Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Kole Calhoun is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Kole Calhoun will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez today. Kole Calhoun pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Ryan Jeffers has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 14 days. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.2% on the season to 25% over the last 14 days.
Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Jose Ramirez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days. Jose Ramirez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 85.3-mph over the past week. Jose Ramirez has recorded a .270 BABIP this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.
Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today. Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joey Gallo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.9-mph average to last season's 97.9-mph EV.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Willi Castro has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 85.7-mph EV. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Willi Castro has had some very poor luck this year. His .306 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.65 ft/sec this year, Willi Castro is very athletic.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Kepler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup.
MIN vs CLE Trends
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 away games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 39% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.03 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 68 away games (-19.85 Units / -26% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.60 Units / -51% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (-2.75 Units / -9% ROI)
Cleveland Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 53 of their last 94 games (+11.70 Units / 10% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 62% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.94 Units / 28% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 18 games (-7.05 Units / -36% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.90 Units / -36% ROI)
MIN vs CLE Top User Picks
More PicksMinnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||
Cleveland Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||