Boston @ Tampa Bay props

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team today. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Luke Raley has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.7-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Jose Siri's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the shallowest. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Checking in at the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Sporting a .353 BABIP this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 87th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Trevor Story has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.5-mph over the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Trevor Story's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%. Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .219 rate is quite a bit lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.8-mph.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Masataka Yoshida's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 16.7%. Masataka Yoshida has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Duvall has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96-mph. Adam Duvall's launch angle this year (29.2°) is considerably higher than his 23.4° angle last year. In the last two weeks, Adam Duvall has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 29.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 25.7°.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Justin Turner's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (21.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 16.4° seasonal mark. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Justin Turner sports a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the shallowest. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has been hot of late, putting up a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last 14 days. Posting a 92.6-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Wilyer Abreu has been in great form of late. Wilyer Abreu has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 23.1% of the time in the past two weeks.