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Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for homers. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 44.4% to 36.1%.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for homers. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 44.4% to 36.1%.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alika Williams will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alika Williams will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Christian Yelich is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Christian Yelich is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today. In the past 14 days, Brice Turang's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.8%.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today. In the past 14 days, Brice Turang's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.8%.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past week, Tyrone Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games. Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .267 rate is deflated compared to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past week, Tyrone Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games. Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .267 rate is deflated compared to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Santana
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carlos Santana has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carlos Santana has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph.

Ji-Hwan Bae Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bae
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ji Hwan Bae is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ji-Hwan Bae

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ji Hwan Bae is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Palacios
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Josh Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Joshua Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andruw Monasterio has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.03 K/BB rate. Andruw Monasterio has notched a .332 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andruw Monasterio has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.03 K/BB rate. Andruw Monasterio has notched a .332 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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