MASN, SNY

New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+195
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Joan Adon Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In notching a .278 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Joan Adon Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In notching a .278 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Jose Butto in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Alu stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jake Alu will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Jose Butto in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Alu stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jake Alu will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon today.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+117
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Omar Narvaez has significantly improved, with an increase from 2.5% last year to 7.7% this year. Omar Narvaez's launch angle this season (22.2°) is considerably higher than his 17.1° mark last season.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Omar Narvaez has significantly improved, with an increase from 2.5% last year to 7.7% this year. Omar Narvaez's launch angle this season (22.2°) is considerably higher than his 17.1° mark last season.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alex Call has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.4% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph of late. Alex Call's launch angle in recent games (24.4° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.6° seasonal figure.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alex Call has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.4% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph of late. Alex Call's launch angle in recent games (24.4° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.6° seasonal figure.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 94°. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, D.J. Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, D.J. Stewart has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30° mark in the past 7 days.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 94°. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, D.J. Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, D.J. Stewart has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30° mark in the past 7 days.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has decreased to 87.6-mph. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the last 7 days. Jeff McNeil's launch angle in recent games (2.9° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 13.5° seasonal mark.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has decreased to 87.6-mph. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the last 7 days. Jeff McNeil's launch angle in recent games (2.9° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 13.5° seasonal mark.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Mark Vientos this year with his .209 actual batting average. Mark Vientos's 10.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 93.5 mph, which is one of the best in the game at the 97th percentile.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Mark Vientos this year with his .209 actual batting average. Mark Vientos's 10.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 93.5 mph, which is one of the best in the game at the 97th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

The #5 park in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Joan Adon will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso today. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 18.2% on the season to 4.8% over the last two weeks. Sporting a .215 BABIP this year, Pete Alonso grades out in the 1st percentile.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #5 park in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Joan Adon will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso today. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 18.2% on the season to 4.8% over the last two weeks. Sporting a .215 BABIP this year, Pete Alonso grades out in the 1st percentile.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 93°. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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