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Los Angeles @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph. Amed Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44.5% on the season to 17.6% in the past 14 days.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph. Amed Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44.5% on the season to 17.6% in the past 14 days.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In today's game, Mookie Betts is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile). Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, posting a .430 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .400 — a .030 difference.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In today's game, Mookie Betts is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile). Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, posting a .430 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .400 — a .030 difference.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The #7 field in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 42.5% on the season to 60.9% over the past two weeks. James Outman has posted a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #7 field in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 42.5% on the season to 60.9% over the past two weeks. James Outman has posted a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

C. Taylor
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Chris Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett today.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Chris Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett today.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Joey Wendle's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Joey Wendle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage today.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Wendle's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Joey Wendle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage today.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Austin Barnes will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Austin Barnes will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Braxton Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman today. Freddie Freeman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Freddie Freeman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Braxton Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman today. Freddie Freeman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Freddie Freeman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 30° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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