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St. Louis @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lars Nootbaar has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lars Nootbaar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark. Using Statcast metrics, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .353.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Lars Nootbaar has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lars Nootbaar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark. Using Statcast metrics, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .353.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

C. Encarnacion-Strand
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rom today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rom today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Nolan Gorman has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (29.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 22.1° seasonal mark.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Nolan Gorman has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (29.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 22.1° seasonal mark.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

H. Bader
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harrison Bader in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In today's matchup, Harrison Bader is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (89th percentile). Over the past 14 days, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Ranking in the 7th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. With a .266 BABIP this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 12th percentile.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harrison Bader in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In today's matchup, Harrison Bader is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (89th percentile). Over the past 14 days, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Ranking in the 7th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. With a .266 BABIP this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 12th percentile.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past 14 days.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past 14 days.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Batters such as Jordan Walker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Batters such as Jordan Walker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Willson Contreras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Willson Contreras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Fairchild
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Stuart Fairchild will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rom in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Stuart Fairchild

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Stuart Fairchild will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rom in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

L. Maile
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luke Maile will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Luke Maile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rom in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luke Maile will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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