NBCSP, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Projection Rating

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Josh Bell are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Bell in today's game.

Josh Bell

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Josh Bell are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Bell in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 28.6%.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 28.6%.

Jon Berti Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Berti
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jon Berti will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Sporting a .331 BABIP this year, Jon Berti has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Jon Berti

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jon Berti will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Sporting a .331 BABIP this year, Jon Berti has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Johan Rojas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas is notably toolsy, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.28 ft/sec this year.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Johan Rojas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas is notably toolsy, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.28 ft/sec this year.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past two weeks. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. grades out in the 76th percentile.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past two weeks. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. grades out in the 76th percentile.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Cave has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Cave has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Jacob Stallings has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. In terms of plate discipline, Jacob Stallings's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.99 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 80th percentile.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Jacob Stallings has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. In terms of plate discipline, Jacob Stallings's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.99 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 80th percentile.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

Yuli Gurriel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yuli Gurriel will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 10.8% to 15.8%.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Yuli Gurriel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yuli Gurriel will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 10.8% to 15.8%.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph to 92.4-mph in the last week.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph to 92.4-mph in the last week.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryan De La Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The weather forecast temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryan De La Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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