SNLA, MASN2

Los Angeles @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. Emmet Sheehan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 11.3%. In the last week, Joey Meneses's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. Emmet Sheehan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 11.3%. In the last week, Joey Meneses's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. J.D. Martinez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. J.D. Martinez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Emmet Sheehan today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage today.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Emmet Sheehan today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage today.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+125
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+125
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .404 — a .013 difference.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Nationals Park ranks as the #25 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .404 — a .013 difference.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Carter Kieboom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Carter Kieboom has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 49.7° figure in the last 7 days.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Carter Kieboom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Carter Kieboom has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 49.7° figure in the last 7 days.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

Amed Rosario is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Amed Rosario is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Alu has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.7-mph.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Alu has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.7-mph.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

C. Taylor
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Over the past 7 days, Chris Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 107.7-mph of late.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Over the past 7 days, Chris Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 107.7-mph of late.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Outman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, James Outman's 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%. James Outman has put up a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile. Ranking in the 94th percentile, James Outman has put up a .360 BABIP this year.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Outman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, James Outman's 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%. James Outman has put up a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile. Ranking in the 94th percentile, James Outman has put up a .360 BABIP this year.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Muncy has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.7-mph over the last two weeks.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Muncy has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.7-mph over the last two weeks.

Travis Blankenhorn Total Hits Props • Washington

T. Blankenhorn
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Travis Blankenhorn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Travis Blankenhorn will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Travis Blankenhorn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Travis Blankenhorn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Travis Blankenhorn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Travis Blankenhorn will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Travis Blankenhorn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kike Hernandez given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kike Hernandez given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Miguel Rojas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Miguel Rojas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast the best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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