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Kansas City @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. James McArthur will hold the platoon advantage over George Springer today. Over the past 7 days, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. In the past week's worth of games, George Springer's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 91.8 mph to 77.9 mph.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. James McArthur will hold the platoon advantage over George Springer today. Over the past 7 days, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. In the past week's worth of games, George Springer's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 91.8 mph to 77.9 mph.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+143
Projection Rating

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against James McArthur in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.9%.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against James McArthur in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.9%.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James McArthur in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .279 batting average this year, Kevin Kiermaier is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James McArthur in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .279 batting average this year, Kevin Kiermaier is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Maikel Garcia in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Maikel Garcia in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-215
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. James McArthur will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 11.4% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. James McArthur will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 11.4% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. In the past 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 20%. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 11% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. In the past 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 20%. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 11% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Drew Waters's launch angle recently (28.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Drew Waters's launch angle recently (28.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Edward Olivares has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 50% in the last week's worth of games. Edward Olivares's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 75% over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) implies that Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Edward Olivares has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 50% in the last week's worth of games. Edward Olivares's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 75% over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) implies that Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Nelson Velazquez has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.7% rate last year to 21.3% this season. Nelson Velazquez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 21.3% seasonal rate to 26.9% over the last 14 days. Nelson Velazquez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Nelson Velazquez has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.7% rate last year to 21.3% this season. Nelson Velazquez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 21.3% seasonal rate to 26.9% over the last 14 days. Nelson Velazquez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. MJ Melendez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 90.7-mph average last year, MJ Melendez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.6 mph.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. MJ Melendez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 90.7-mph average last year, MJ Melendez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.6 mph.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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