FS1, RSN, Bally Sports Network

Seattle @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rojas
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last 14 days, Josh Rojas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last 14 days, Josh Rojas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.3 mph to 89.4 mph.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.3 mph to 89.4 mph.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Taylor Walls has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 90-mph. In the last week, Taylor Walls's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Taylor Walls has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 90-mph. In the last week, Taylor Walls's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Jose Siri had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 19.9°. Over the past 14 days, Jose Siri's 47.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Jose Siri had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 19.9°. Over the past 14 days, Jose Siri's 47.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has experienced some negative variance given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has experienced some negative variance given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.6% to 14.8%.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.6% to 14.8%.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The #3 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #3 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle

M. Ford
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 14 days. In the last 7 days, Mike Ford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph of late. Mike Ford has put up a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 14 days. In the last 7 days, Mike Ford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph of late. Mike Ford has put up a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast