SNLA, MASN2

Los Angeles @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+123
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

David Peralta has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Peralta today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, David Peralta's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%. David Peralta's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78.9-mph over the past 14 days.

David Peralta

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

David Peralta has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Peralta today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, David Peralta's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%. David Peralta's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78.9-mph over the past 14 days.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Outman is ranked in the 75th percentile.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Outman is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Kolten Wong Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

K. Wong
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kolten Wong's true offensive talent to be a .322, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .101 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.

Kolten Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kolten Wong's true offensive talent to be a .322, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .101 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Miguel Rojas has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph figure. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 18.8%.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Miguel Rojas has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph figure. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 18.8%.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Carter Kieboom will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Carter Kieboom has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 49.7° figure in the last 7 days.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Carter Kieboom will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Carter Kieboom has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 49.7° figure in the last 7 days.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Lane Thomas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9% to 18.2%.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Lane Thomas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9% to 18.2%.

Travis Blankenhorn Total Hits Props • Washington

T. Blankenhorn
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Travis Blankenhorn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Travis Blankenhorn will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Travis Blankenhorn will hold that advantage today.

Travis Blankenhorn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Travis Blankenhorn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Travis Blankenhorn will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Travis Blankenhorn will hold that advantage today.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Jason Heyward pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jason Heyward's launch angle this season (15.9°) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Jason Heyward has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Jason Heyward pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jason Heyward's launch angle this season (15.9°) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Jason Heyward has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast