MLBN, Amaz PV, NESN

New York @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+195
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Nick Pivetta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Nick Pivetta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+190
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (94%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kutter Crawford. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (94%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kutter Crawford. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+117
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (94%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (94%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Wilyer Abreu will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Wilyer Abreu will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

E. Pereira
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Aaron Judge pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Aaron Judge pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

I. Kiner-Falefa
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-255
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-255
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

K. Higashioka
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Bauers
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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