MASN, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In today's game, Anthony Santander is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (98th percentile).

Anthony Santander

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In today's game, Anthony Santander is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (98th percentile).

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+184
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+184
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today... and even better, Rom has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today... and even better, Rom has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+151
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+151
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Willson Contreras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Willson Contreras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Arenado generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Arenado generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom in today's game... and even better, Rom has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom in today's game... and even better, Rom has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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