ARID, SNY

Arizona @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

Alek Thomas's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alek Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alek Thomas's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alek Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

D.J. Stewart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

D.J. Stewart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Lawlar Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Lawlar
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jordan Lawlar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Ortega
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Rafael Ortega will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Rafael Ortega will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Rafael Ortega has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

Rafael Ortega

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Rafael Ortega will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Rafael Ortega will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Rafael Ortega has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 38° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.6%.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 38° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.6%.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Ronny Mauricio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Ronny Mauricio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 96-mph over the last 14 days. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had bad variance on his side given the .052 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 96-mph over the last 14 days. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had bad variance on his side given the .052 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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