STL +110 o8.0
PIT -119 u8.0
BOS -121 o8.5
MIA +112 u8.5
CHW +169 o8.5
CLE -185 u8.5
NYM -144 o8.5
WAS +132 u8.5
CIN +160 o8.5
NYY -175 u8.5
HOU -108 o8.5
TOR -100 u8.5
SF +177 o7.5
ATL -194 u7.5
PHI -114 o7.5
CHC +106 u7.5
SD +126 o9.0
TEX -137 u9.0
TB -102 o8.0
KC -106 u8.0
DET +152 o9.0
MIN -166 u9.0
MIL -163 o11.5
COL +150 u11.5
LAA -111 o8.5
OAK +103 u8.5
BAL +111 o7.0
SEA -120 u7.0
AZ +171 o9.0
LAD -188 u9.0
Sportsnet, NESN

Boston @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.5° mark last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, George Springer's 11.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.5° mark last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, George Springer's 11.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sporting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 85th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sporting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 85th percentile.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Extreme groundball hitters like Davis Schneider usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Extreme groundball hitters like Davis Schneider usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Boston

L. Urias
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Matt Chapman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Matt Chapman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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