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Cincinnati @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Steer tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Steer tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Mauricio usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Ronny Mauricio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in the game over the last two weeks — 117.3-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent recently (36.9° in the past 7 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Mauricio usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Ronny Mauricio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in the game over the last two weeks — 117.3-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent recently (36.9° in the past 7 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Omar Narvaez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Omar Narvaez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

D.J. Stewart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. D.J. Stewart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so D.J. Stewart has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

D.J. Stewart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. D.J. Stewart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so D.J. Stewart has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. T.J. Friedl hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. T.J. Friedl hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph figure. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos given the .052 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph figure. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos given the .052 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Jonathan India will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Jonathan India will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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