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Houston @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+138
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+138
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Michael Massey is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Michael Massey is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Drew Waters's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Drew Waters's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Zack Greinke will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today. In today's game, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (94th percentile). The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Zack Greinke will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today. In today's game, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (94th percentile). The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Pratto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Pratto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Cristian Javier will hold the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cristian Javier will hold the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Zack Greinke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Zack Greinke will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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