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Boston @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Projection Rating

Over the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Over the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+120
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+120
Projection Rating

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justin Turner has recorded a mere a 3.2% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justin Turner has recorded a mere a 3.2% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 18th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 18th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 50% on the season to 70% in the last 7 days.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Trevor Story's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 50% on the season to 70% in the last 7 days.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. Over the last 14 days, Wilyer Abreu's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 64.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. Over the last 14 days, Wilyer Abreu's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 64.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Connor Wong has been hot of late, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Connor Wong has been hot of late, posting a a 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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