MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Texas @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+123
Projection Rating

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Robbie Grossman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last week.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Robbie Grossman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last week.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage over Cody Bradford in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage over Cody Bradford in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams today. Over the past week, Evan Carter has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386. Over the last 14 days, Evan Carter has averaged an impressive 102.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams today. Over the past week, Evan Carter has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .386. Over the last 14 days, Evan Carter has averaged an impressive 102.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past week. Jonah Heim has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.7-mph.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past week. Jonah Heim has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.7-mph.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Hedges
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hedges's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.1-mph now compared to just 84.2-mph then. Austin Hedges has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .180 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .203 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hedges's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.1-mph now compared to just 84.2-mph then. Austin Hedges has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .180 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .203 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Leody Taveras has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.303) may lead us to conclude that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .270 actual batting average.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #10 venue in the game for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Leody Taveras has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.303) may lead us to conclude that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .270 actual batting average.

Cam Gallagher Total Hits Props • Cleveland

C. Gallagher
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Cam Gallagher will hold the platoon advantage against Cody Bradford today. Cam Gallagher will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cam Gallagher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Cam Gallagher will hold the platoon advantage against Cody Bradford today. Cam Gallagher will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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